Support and Resistance Leves in Forex Trading
Learn forex trading by developing a forex system that is proven, tested and simple to apply. Understanding technical analysis gives you the edge as a forex trader. It develops your confidence in your analysis of what will happen in the markets in the future.
However, the greatest drawback with most of the technical indicators is that they lag behind the markets. This means part of the price action has already taken place before the movement is reflected by the technical indicator.
However, support and resistance levels especially those based on Fibonacci levels are considered to be leading indicators of the price action because they lead the markets in predictable paths. Now, when we say predictable, it does not mean 100% guaranteed. But these levels can be pretty close.
Support is the price level that a currency pair touches but has trouble breaking through to the downside. Support is also called the floor of the currency pair price movement.
Resistance is the price level that a currency pair has trouble breaking through to the upside. Resistance level is also known as the ceiling of the currency pair price movement.
Many new forex traders get surprised at the strangely predictable and reliable price action that takes place at the support and resistance levels. Most of the time, they find the price action oscillating between these two levels.
Why it is that majority of the people begin buying and selling at the given support and resistance levels. There is nothing on the charts that forces the people to do so.
The most plausible explanation is that majority of the traders think the support level as the best price available to them and considers it an excellent opportunity to buy once it reaches the support level.
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Similarly, at resistance, majority of the traders think that currency pair is not favorably priced and has reached its highest price. So they consider it as an excellent opportunity to sell the currency pair.
One important requirement of support and resistance levels is that price level is reached a number of times but never breached. Support and resistance levels can be horizontal like that for a ranging markets or they can be sloping up or down like that in a trending market.
What happens at the support level is that as traders begin to sell the currency pair and take profit, the price of the currency pair starts to drop down. As the price starts to fall, other forex traders who were interested in buying the currency pair watch how far it will go down.
Most of them have done their calculations as to how far the price level will fall down before they can place a buy order. Past price action has convinced them the price offered at the support level is the best price under the present market conditions. So when it reaches that level, most of them start buying.
When there are more buyers than sellers in the market, the price of the currency pair starts to rebound and rise. It rises till the resistance level determined by most of them when majority decide that the currency pair is now over priced and start selling.
This oscillating price action keeps on repeating until and unless there is a fundamental shift in the markets and new levels are established.
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